# This library is free software; you can redistribute it and/or # modify it under the terms of the GNU Library General Public # License as published by the Free Software Foundation; either # version 2 of the License, or (at your option) any later version. # # This library is distributed in the hope that it will be useful, # but WITHOUT ANY WARRANTY; without even the implied warranty of # MERCHANTABILITY or FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE. See the # GNU Library General Public License for more details. # # You should have received a copy of the GNU Library General # Public License along with this library; if not, write to the # Free Foundation, Inc., 59 Temple Place, Suite 330, Boston, # MA 02111-1307 USA # Copyrights (C) # for this R-port: # 1999 - 2008, Diethelm Wuertz, Rmetrics Foundation, GPL # Diethelm Wuertz # info@rmetrics.org # www.rmetrics.org # for the code accessed (or partly included) from other R-ports: # see R's copyright and license files # for the code accessed (or partly included) from contributed R-ports # and other sources # see Rmetrics's copyright file ################################################################################ # FUNCTION: SIMULATION: # garchSim Simulates a GARCH/APARCH process ################################################################################ garchSim <- function(spec = garchSpec(), n = 100, n.start = 100, extended = FALSE) { # A function implemented by Diethelm Wuertz # Description: # Simulates a time series process from the GARCH family # Arguments: # model - a specification object of class 'fGARCHSPEC' as # returned by the function \code{garchSpec}: # ar - a vector of autoregressive coefficients of # length m for the ARMA specification, # ma - a vector of moving average coefficients of # length n for the ARMA specification, # omega - the variance value for GARCH/APARCH # specification, # alpha - a vector of autoregressive coefficients # of length p for the GARCH/APARCH specification, # gamma - a vector of leverage coefficients of # length p for the APARCH specification, # beta - a vector of moving average coefficients of # length q for the GARCH/APARCH specification, # mu - the intercept for ARMA specification (mean=mu/(1-sum(ar))), # delta - the exponent value used in the variance # equation. # skew - a numeric value for the skew parameter. # shape - a numeric value for the shape parameter. # n - an integer, the length of the series # n.start - the length of the warm-up sequence to reduce the # effect of initial conditions. # FUNCTION: # Specification: stopifnot(class(spec) == "fGARCHSPEC") model = spec@model # Random Seed: if (spec@rseed != 0) set.seed(spec@rseed) # Enlarge Series: n = n + n.start # Create Innovations: if (spec@distribution == "norm") z = rnorm(n) if (spec@distribution == "ged") z = rged(n, nu = model$shape) if (spec@distribution == "std") z = rstd(n, nu = model$shape) if (spec@distribution == "snorm") z = rsnorm(n, xi = model$skew) if (spec@distribution == "sged") z = rsged(n, nu = model$shape, xi = model$skew) if (spec@distribution == "sstd") z = rsstd(n, nu = model$shape, xi = model$skew) # Expand to whole Sample: delta = model$delta z = c(rev(spec@presample[, 1]), z) h = c(rev(spec@presample[, 2]), rep(NA, times = n)) y = c(rev(spec@presample[, 3]), rep(NA, times = n)) m = length(spec@presample[, 1]) names(z) = names(h) = names(y) = NULL # Determine Coefficients: mu = model$mu ar = model$ar ma = model$ma omega = model$omega alpha = model$alpha gamma = model$gamma beta = model$beta deltainv = 1/delta # Determine Orders: order.ar = length(ar) order.ma = length(ma) order.alpha = length(alpha) order.beta = length(beta) # Iterate GARCH / APARCH Model: eps = h^deltainv*z for (i in (m+1):(n+m)) { h[i] = omega + sum(alpha*(abs(eps[i-(1:order.alpha)]) - gamma*(eps[i-(1:order.alpha)]))^delta) + sum(beta*h[i-(1:order.beta)]) eps[i] = h[i]^deltainv * z[i] y[i] = mu + sum(ar*y[i-(1:order.ar)]) + sum(ma*eps[i-(1:order.ma)]) + eps[i] } # Sample: data = cbind( z = z[(m+1):(n+m)], sigma = h[(m+1):(n+m)]^deltainv, y = y[(m+1):(n+m)]) rownames(data) = as.character(1:n) data = data[-(1:n.start),] # Return Values: from <- timeDate(format(Sys.time(), format = "%Y-%m-%d")) - NROW(data)*24*3600 charvec <- timeSequence(from = from, length.out = NROW(data)) ans <- timeSeries(data = data[, c(3,2,1)], charvec = charvec) colnames(ans) <- c("garch", "sigma", "eps") ans <- if (extended) ans else ans[,"garch"] attr(ans, "control") <- list(garchSpec = spec) # Return Value: ans } ################################################################################